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課程名稱 |
可靠度與風險評估
Reliability and Risk Assessment |
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開課學期 |
110-2 |
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授課對象 |
工學院 土木工程學系 |
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授課教師 |
林偲妘 |
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課號 |
CIE5149 |
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課程識別碼 |
521EU7180 |
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班次 |
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學分 |
3.0 |
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全/半年 |
半年 |
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必/選修 |
選修 |
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上課時間 |
星期一7,8,9(14:20~17:20) |
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上課地點 |
土研405 |
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備註 |
本課程以英語授課。
限學士班三年級以上
總人數上限：30人 |
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課程簡介影片 |
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核心能力關聯 |
本課程尚未建立核心能力關連 |
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課程大綱
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為確保您我的權利,請尊重智慧財產權及不得非法影印
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課程概述 |
本課程主要介紹可靠度分析基本理論及其應用，並將統計學觀念應用於土木工程風險分析中。
This course introduces the basic theory of reliability analysis and its application, and applies statistical concepts to the risk analysis of civil engineering. |
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課程目標 |
1. 學生能了解並表述土木工程中不確定性之特徵
Students will be able to understand and interpret probabilistic characterization of uncertainty in Civil Engineering
2. 學生能進行工程系統之可靠度與風險評估
Students will be able to assess reliability for engineering systems.
3. 學生能應用可靠度分析與風險評估於決策過程
Students will be able to use reliability analysis to support decision-making
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課程要求 |
需先通過微積分、或然率或統計學課程，具程式語言基礎 (本課程範例操作使用MATLAB)
Calculus, Probability or Statistics, Basic of Programming (Matlab will be used in this class)
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預期每週課後學習時數 |
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Office Hours |
備註： TAs' Office Hour (please send an email to the TA in advance)
*** Wednesday, 4:00pm - 5:30 pm, CERB Room 714, 王嘉宏 (CHIA-HUNG WANG) r09521713@ntu.edu.tw
*** Thursday, 12:00pm - 2:00 pm, CERB Room 712, ADRIANTO OKTAVIANUS d09521030@ntu.edu.tw
Instructor's Office Hour (make another appointment)
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指定閱讀 |
There is no required textbook for this course. |
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參考書目 |
[1] Ang, A. H.-S., Tang, W. (1975), Probability Concepts in Engineering Planning and Design, John Wiley, Chichester; New York.
[2] Achintya, H., Sankaran, M. (2000). Probability, Reliability, and Statistical Methods in Engineering, 2st Ed., John Wiley, Chichester; New York.
[3] Related journal papers and proceedings. |
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評量方式
(僅供參考) |
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週次 |
日期 |
單元主題 |
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第1週 |
2/14 |
Introduction
Review of Basic Probability Theory: Conditional Probability, Statistical Independence, Random Variables, Probability Distribution |
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第2週 |
2/21 |
Review of Probability (cont’d): Functions of Random Variables, Moments and Expectations
Common Continuous and Discrete Probability Laws |
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第3週 |
2/28 |
Theory of Extremes
Asymptotic Theory of Extremes - Type I, II and III Extreme Value Distributions |
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第4週 |
3/07 |
Review of Statistical Inference
Classic Reliability Theory |
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第5週 |
3/14 |
Monte Carlo Methods
Variance Reduction Techniques - Importance Sampling |
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第6週 |
3/21 |
First-Order Second-Moment Methods (FOSM) |
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第7週 |
3/28 |
First-Order Second-Moment Methods (FOSM) (Con't) |
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第8週 |
4/04 |
Midterm |
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第9週 |
4/11 |
First-Order Reliability Methods (FORM) |
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第10週 |
4/18 |
Introduction to System Reliability
First Order Bounds on System Reliability |
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第11週 |
4/25 |
Fault Tree Analysis
Monte Carlo Methods for System Reliability |
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第12週 |
5/02 |
Time Dependent Reliability |
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第13週 |
5/09 |
Reliability and Hazard Functions |
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第14週 |
5/16 |
Probabilistic Risk Assessment and Decision Analysis |
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第15週 |
5/23 |
Vulnerability and Resilience Assessment |
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第16週 |
5/30 |
Final Exam |
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第17週 |
6/06 |
Final Project Presentation |
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第18週 |
6/13 |
Buffer |
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